Global Coffee Market Ends 2024 on a High Note: Price Surges, Export Dynamics, and Emerging Trends

Global Coffee Market Ends 2024 on a High Note: Price Surges, Export Dynamics, and Emerging Trends

The International Coffee Organization’s (ICO) December 2024 Coffee Market Report revealed significant developments in the global coffee market. From historic price increases to evolving export patterns, the coffee industry closed the year with remarkable changes that are shaping its future.

Historic Price Surges Highlight 2024

The ICO Composite Indicator Price (I-CIP) averaged 299.61 US cents per pound in December, marking a 10.7% rise from November and a staggering 70.5% increase year-over-year. This surge set the highest monthly average since April 1977, driven by multiple factors:

  • Strong performance of the US dollar, increasing operational costs at origins.
  • Supply chain disruptions, including prolonged shipping times and port inefficiencies.
  • Regulatory uncertainties tied to the European Union’s delayed deforestation regulation (EUDR).

Arabica varieties led the charge, with Colombian Milds and Other Milds rising by 11.4% and 12.6%, respectively. Brazilian Naturals climbed 14.5%, while Robusta saw a modest 4.7% increase.

Export Dynamics: Mixed Performance Across Regions

Despite price hikes, global green bean exports in November 2024 totaled 9.7 million bags, a slight 0.4% decline year-over-year. Key trends included:

  • Robusta exports declined by 17.3%, driven by Vietnam’s 47.1% drop in shipments.
  • Colombian Milds surged 13.1%, marking the fourteenth consecutive month of growth, with Tanzania’s exports more than doubling.
  • Brazilian Naturals increased by 12.1%, supported by Brazil’s robust performance.
  • Africa’s exports grew 24.5%, with Ethiopia leading at an 86.24% increase.

Regional Highlights: Winners and Challenges

  1. Asia & Oceania: Exports declined by 12%, mainly due to Vietnam’s poor performance, but growth in India and Indonesia offset some losses.
  2. South America: Exports rose 6%, with Brazil and Colombia showing strong gains, while Peru faced supply shortages.
  3. Africa: Double-digit growth dominated, driven by Ethiopia, Kenya, and Tanzania.
  4. Central America & Mexico: Exports increased by 5.2%, led by Costa Rica and Mexico, despite declines in Honduras and Nicaragua.

Supply Chain Struggles and Consumer Implications

Logistical bottlenecks continued to stress the global supply chain:

  • Shipping delays, particularly through the Suez Canal, slowed European imports.
  • Low certified stock levels (42.5% of the five-year average) exacerbated supply constraints.

These challenges increased costs for roasters and processors, ultimately driving up consumer prices.

Coffee Consumption and Production Balance

Global coffee consumption grew modestly by 2.2% to 177 million 60-kg bags, while production rose by 5.8% to 178 million bags, creating a slight supply surplus. However, the dynamics of Arabica (up 8.8%) and Robusta (up 2.1%) production varied significantly across regions.

Key Insights for 2025

As the coffee market heads into 2025, several trends stand out:

  • Regulatory shifts like the EUDR will play a crucial role in shaping trade and sustainability practices.
  • The growing Arabica-Robusta price differential could prompt roasters to blend more Robusta into their products.
  • Continued investment in logistics and infrastructure will be critical to address persistent supply chain issues.

The ICO’s December 2024 report underscores the resilience and complexity of the global coffee market. With price surges, shifting trade patterns, and evolving regulatory landscapes, stakeholders must navigate a challenging but opportunity-rich environment in the year ahead.

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Another part of our priority is adding protection for children while using the internet. We encourage parents and guardians to observe, participate in, and/or monitor and guide their online activity. Qahwa World does not knowingly collect any Personal Identifiable Information from children under the age of 13. If you think that your child provided this kind of information on our website, we strongly encourage you to contact us immediately and we will do our best efforts to promptly remove such information from our records.[:ru]Privacy Policy for qahwa world At qahwaworld, accessible from qahwaworld.com, one of our main priorities is the privacy of our visitors. This Privacy Policy document contains types of information that is collected and recorded by qahwaworld and how we use it. If you have additional questions or require more information about our Privacy Policy, do not hesitate to contact us. This Privacy Policy applies only to our online activities and is valid for visitors to our website with regards to the information that they shared and/or collect in qahwaworld. This policy is not applicable to any information collected offline or via channels other than this website. Our Privacy Policy was created with the help of the Free Privacy Policy Generator. Consent By using our website, you hereby consent to our Privacy Policy and agree to its terms. Information we collect The personal information that you are asked to provide, and the reasons why you are asked to provide it, will be made clear to you at the point we ask you to provide your personal information. If you contact us directly, we may receive additional information about you such as your name, email address, phone number, the contents of the message and/or attachments you may send us, and any other information you may choose to provide. When you register for an Account, we may ask for your contact information, including items such as name, company name, address, email address, and telephone number. How we use your information We use the information we collect in various ways, including to: Provide, operate, and maintain our website Improve, personalize, and expand our website Understand and analyze how you use our website Develop new products, services, features, and functionality Communicate with you, either directly or through one of our partners, including for customer service, to provide you with updates and other information relating to the website, and for marketing and promotional purposes Send you emails Find and prevent fraud Log Files qahwaworld follows a standard procedure of using log files. These files log visitors when they visit websites. All hosting companies do this and a part of hosting services' analytics. The information collected by log files include internet protocol (IP) addresses, browser type, Internet Service Provider (ISP), date and time stamp, referring/exit pages, and possibly the number of clicks. These are not linked to any information that is personally identifiable. The purpose of the information is for analyzing trends, administering the site, tracking users' movement on the website, and gathering demographic information. Cookies and Web Beacons Like any other website, qahwaworld uses 'cookies'. These cookies are used to store information including visitors' preferences, and the pages on the website that the visitor accessed or visited. The information is used to optimize the users' experience by customizing our web page content based on visitors' browser type and/or other information. For more general information on cookies, please read the Cookies article on Generate Privacy Policy website. 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Third-party ad servers or ad networks uses technologies like cookies, JavaScript, or Web Beacons that are used in their respective advertisements and links that appear on qahwaworld, which are sent directly to users' browser. They automatically receive your IP address when this occurs. These technologies are used to measure the effectiveness of their advertising campaigns and/or to personalize the advertising content that you see on websites that you visit. Note that qahwaworld has no access to or control over these cookies that are used by third-party advertisers. Third Party Privacy Policies qahwaworld's Privacy Policy does not apply to other advertisers or websites. Thus, we are advising you to consult the respective Privacy Policies of these third-party ad servers for more detailed information. It may include their practices and instructions about how to opt-out of certain options. You can choose to disable cookies through your individual browser options. To know more detailed information about cookie management with specific web browsers, it can be found at the browsers' respective websites. CCPA Privacy Rights (Do Not Sell My Personal Information) Under the CCPA, among other rights, California consumers have the right to: Request that a business that collects a consumer's personal data disclose the categories and specific pieces of personal data that a business has collected about consumers. Request that a business delete any personal data about the consumer that a business has collected. Request that a business that sells a consumer's personal data, not sell the consumer's personal data. If you make a request, we have one month to respond to you. If you would like to exercise any of these rights, please contact us. GDPR Data Protection Rights We would like to make sure you are fully aware of all of your data protection rights. Every user is entitled to the following: The right to access – You have the right to request copies of your personal data. We may charge you a small fee for this service. The right to rectification – You have the right to request that we correct any information you believe is inaccurate. You also have the right to request that we complete the information you believe is incomplete. The right to erasure – You have the right to request that we erase your personal data, under certain conditions. The right to restrict processing – You have the right to request that we restrict the processing of your personal data, under certain conditions. The right to object to processing – You have the right to object to our processing of your personal data, under certain conditions. The right to data portability – You have the right to request that we transfer the data that we have collected to another organization, or directly to you, under certain conditions. If you make a request, we have one month to respond to you. If you would like to exercise any of these rights, please contact us. Children's Information Another part of our priority is adding protection for children while using the internet. We encourage parents and guardians to observe, participate in, and/or monitor and guide their online activity. qahwaworld does not knowingly collect any Personal Identifiable Information from children under the age of 13. If you think that your child provided this kind of information on our website, we strongly encourage you to contact us immediately and we will do our best efforts to promptly remove such information from our records.[:]
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