A global coffee expert has issued an urgent warning to the coffee industry, stating that the world may face a significant coffee crisis in 2025.
Journalist Maja Wallengren revealed that Brazil’s 2025 Arabica coffee crop is on track to become one of the smallest in the past two decades.
Through her X account and platform Spilling The Bean, Wallengren confirmed that farmers in Minas Gerais, Brazil’s largest coffee-producing state, are preparing for catastrophic losses, averaging between 20-30%.
Wallengren underscored the severity of the situation with a video posted on December 19, filmed at a farm in Nova Resende, Southern Minas. The footage showed visibly weak coffee trees struggling to produce cherries, even in areas that usually benefit from optimal agricultural conditions.
*BREAKING #KC: @SpillingTheBean can CONFIRM that Brazil’s next 2025 arabica #coffee crop will be one of the SMALLEST in at least 10-20 years with MINIMUM average losses on 20-30% across ALL of Minas Gerais – video from Nova Resende Dec 19th and shows some of the BEST crop… https://t.co/mHZmKsoTv9 pic.twitter.com/grlMfuUlqD
— Maja Wallengren (@SpillingTheBean) December 20, 2024
During her tour of key coffee-producing regions, such as Cabo Verde and Divisa Nova, Wallengren highlighted the growing concerns among farmers.
“No farmer or farm has reported losses below 30%,” she stated. “Many are estimating losses as high as 40-50%.”
In her blunt assessment, Wallengren declared, “The world is facing a severe coffee shortage.”
If these grim predictions materialize, the 2025 harvest could mark a historic turning point for Brazil, the world’s largest coffee producer, potentially disrupting global markets and driving up coffee prices for consumers worldwide.