Global Coffee Exports Drop Amidst Market Volatility, While Prices Surge in February 2025

The global coffee market witnessed significant fluctuations in February 2025, with total coffee exports declining while the ICO Composite Indicator Price (I-CIP) surged by 14.3% compared to January 2025. According to the latest data from the International Coffee Organization (ICO), total coffee exports for January 2025 amounted to 10.8 million bags, reflecting a decline in Robusta exports while Arabica experienced a moderate drop.

Arabica coffee accounted for 61.6% of all coffee exports, with a slight decrease of 2.5% compared to January 2024. In contrast, Robusta exports saw a steep decline of 26.4%, significantly impacting the overall trade balance. The total volume of coffee exported in January 2025 reached 42.3 million 60-kg bags across all forms of coffee, highlighting a noticeable shift in supply chain dynamics.

Despite declining exports, the global coffee price index saw a notable increase. The ICO Composite Indicator Price (I-CIP) averaged 354.32 US cents per pound in February 2025, marking a 14.3% rise from January 2025. The surge in prices was largely driven by tightening supply conditions, particularly in Robusta, as well as increasing demand for premium Arabica varieties.

The ICO report further details that the highest I-CIP recorded during February was 375.00 US cents/lb, while the lowest stood at 337.54 US cents/lb. Notably, Colombian Milds and Brazilian Naturals saw the strongest price movements, reflecting increased demand and limited supply from key producing regions.

With supply-side constraints and growing uncertainty in global coffee trade, stakeholders are closely monitoring market trends. The decline in Robusta exports and the upward pressure on prices could reshape trading patterns in the coming months, influencing sourcing decisions and consumer preferences worldwide.