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Author: Qahwa World – Climate Desk Source: NOAA, WMO, ICO, StoneX, industry sources Date: May 22, 2026 Executive Summary There is a 96% probability that El Niño will persist through the Northern Hemisphere winter of 2026‑2027. Sea surface temperatures in the Niño 3.4 region have already exceeded the +0.5°C El Niño threshold. Vietnam and Indonesia

Arabica coffee prices are seeing support today from below-average rain in Brazil, the world’s largest producer of arabica coffee. March arabica coffee (KCH25) is up +2.85 (+0.88%), while January ICE robusta coffee (RMF25) is down -10 (-0.20%). Somar Meteorologia reported today that Minas Gerais, Brazil’s largest arabica coffee-growing region, received 43.6 mm of rain last

Coffee lovers worldwide may soon feel the impact of surging coffee prices as a mix of economic and environmental challenges disrupt global coffee markets. From the rain-drenched fields of Vietnam to the drought-stricken farms in Brazil, the coffee supply chain is battling significant hurdles that are shaking up the industry. This week, coffee prices saw

In a significant blow to the global coffee market, the Vietnamese coffee trading company Volcafe has reported that Vietnam’s Robusta coffee crop for the 2024/25 season is expected to reach only 24 million bags. This marks the lowest production level in 13 years, primarily due to severe drought conditions that have caused “irreparable damage” to

The International Coffee Organization issued its report for December 2023, entitled “Coffee Report and Outlook…December 2023.” The extensive report covering various aspects of coffee production, consumption and trade around the world reveals trends and forecasts for the global coffee market. The report confirms that global coffee production witnessed a marginal increase of 0.1% to reach

Author: Qahwa World – San Jose Source: USDA Foreign Agricultural Service – Report CS2026-0004 Date: May 20, 2026 Executive Summary Costa Rica coffee production for marketing year 2026/2027 is forecast at 1.2 million 60 kg bags, up 3.5%. Several factors limit growth despite the biennial high year: strong local currency, high fertilizer prices, lower coffee

Author: Qahwa World – Bogota Source: USDA Foreign Agricultural Service – Report CO2026-0008 Date: May 20, 2026 Colombia Coffee Output Rises 7.2% in 2026 Executive Summary Colombian coffee production for marketing year 2026/2027 is forecast to rise 7.2% to 13.4 million 60 kg bags. The increase is driven by favorable dry conditions and the transition

Author: Qahwa World – Jakarta Source: USDA Foreign Agricultural Service – Jakarta Office Report Number: ID2026-0021 Date: May 15, 2026 Executive Summary • Indonesian coffee production for MY 2026/27 is forecast at 11.38 million 60-kg bags, down 8% from the previous year. • Robusta output falls to 10 million bags, a drop of 1 million

Dubai – Qahwa World Coffee markets ended the week under renewed pressure, with Arabica futures retreating sharply after multiple failed attempts to break above key technical resistance levels. Broader macroeconomic volatility, shifting geopolitical sentiment, and emerging supply risks from origin countries combined to shape a turbulent trading environment across both Arabica and Robusta markets. Arabica

As coffee prices continue to react to global supply pressures, DRWakefield’s June 2025 market report highlights a turbulent period for Arabica and Robusta futures. With low certified stocks, unpredictable weather in producing countries, and shifting macroeconomic indicators, the global coffee market is once again showing signs of stress and uncertainty. Volatility Returns to Arabica as

Global coffee prices surged to a record $3.45 per pound—the highest since trading began in 1973—as Brazil’s unprecedented drought devastates crops for the second straight year. The crisis has triggered coffee shortages, forced brands to downsize packages, and pushed retail costs up by over 20% in major markets. Why Are Coffee Prices Rising So Sharply? Brazil’s “Double Drought” Disaster: The Minas Gerais region, which produces 40% of

The global coffee market continued its complex trajectory in May 2025, with slight adjustments in prices and exports reflecting the delicate balance between improving supply chains, mixed demand trends, and broader economic uncertainties. According to the latest Coffee Market Report released by the International Coffee Organization (ICO), the ICO Composite Indicator Price (I-CIP) averaged 334.41

Nicaragua expects a strong coffee harvest of 2.58 million bags in 2025/2026, supported by high prices and improved rainfall, despite persistent credit, labor, and export challenges. Nicaragua is preparing for a strong coffee season in 2025/2026, with total production forecast at 2.58 million 60-kg bags, matching historical averages. The optimism among producers is driven by

Colombia’s coffee production is forecast to fall by 5.3% in 2025/2026 due to heavy rains and record-high prices. Exports and domestic supply face new challenges. Colombia, the third-largest coffee producer in the world, is expected to face a significant setback in the 2025/2026 marketing year as production is forecast to drop by 5.3%, reaching just

Coffee prices edged higher on Wednesday, supported by renewed concerns over supply constraints in Brazil, the world’s largest coffee producer. The July arabica futures contract (KCN25) rose by 0.24% to close at +0.95 cents, while July robusta (RMN25) climbed 1.34% (+71), continuing a price rally triggered by worsening crop forecasts and tight inventories. The upward

Global coffee prices fell sharply on Tuesday, pressured by concerns over weakening demand and improving supply prospects. July arabica futures (KCN25) dropped by 2.50% to close down 10.25 cents, while July robusta futures (RMN25) declined 2.12%, down $115. The downturn came despite an early rally, as market sentiment shifted following new data showing that U.S.

Arabica coffee prices soared to a 2.5-month high on Monday, driven by mounting concerns over a potential shortfall in Brazil’s upcoming coffee harvest. July arabica coffee contracts (KCN25) closed up by 2.55% (+10.20 cents), while July robusta coffee futures (RMN25) edged slightly lower by 0.04% (-2 points). The sharp rise in arabica was primarily fueled

Coffee prices saw a steep decline on Friday, with May Arabica contracts falling by 5.07% to reach a two-month low, and May Robusta down by 4.82%, hitting their lowest level in two and a half months. According to Nasdaq, the drop was driven by a widespread risk-off sentiment in global markets, which pressured most commodities,

Arabica coffee prices closed higher on Friday, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar, while robusta coffee dipped on expectations of rising production from key origins. According to a market update published by Nasdaq, May arabica coffee futures (KCK25) rose by 0.30% (+1.15), while May ICE robusta coffee (RMK25) slipped 0.26% (-14). The dollar’s decline provided

Coffee futures were mostly lower today as a stronger U.S. dollar pressured commodity markets. May arabica coffee (KCK25) fell by 4.50 cents (-1.15%), while May ICE robusta coffee (RMK25) remained flat. The U.S. dollar index climbed to a two-week high, weighing on coffee prices. However, robusta losses were limited due to weather concerns in Vietnam.

Vietnam, the world’s second-largest coffee producer, is bracing for a sharp decline in its 2024-2025 coffee harvest due to extreme weather conditions. Prolonged droughts, heatwaves, and erratic rainfall have significantly impacted the Central Highlands, the country’s primary coffee-growing region. Experts estimate that coffee yields will drop by 10 to 20 percent compared to the previous

Coffee prices slipped on Friday as market pressures mounted amid forecasts of widespread rain in Brazil’s key coffee-growing region and evolving global supply dynamics. May arabica coffee (KCK25) closed down by 2.20%, marking a two-week low, while May ICE robusta coffee (RMK25) fell 2.37%. In Minas Gerais, Brazil’s largest arabica-producing region, Somar Meteorologia forecasted widespread

Coffee prices surged on Tuesday as ongoing drought conditions in Brazil continued to impact supply. May Arabica futures rose by 2.54%, while May Robusta futures increased by 3.29%. Meteorological reports indicated that Minas Gerais, Brazil’s largest Arabica coffee-producing region, received only 1.1 mm of rainfall during the week ending March 8, representing just 2% of

Global coffee markets witnessed significant fluctuations in February 2025, with the International Coffee Organization’s Composite Indicator Price (I-CIP) achieving an unprecedented high of 354.32 US cents/lb, representing a 14.3% increase from January and surpassing the historical peak set in March 1977. This remarkable rise underscores the intense volatility and economic factors influencing the coffee sector.

Coffee prices continued their decline today, extending Thursday’s sharp losses, as forecasts predict rainfall in Brazil and Vietnam. May arabica coffee (KCK25) dropped by 1.24% (-4.80), while May ICE robusta coffee (RMK25) fell 1.68% (-91). Weather forecasts indicate that Brazil will experience several days of rainfall next week, alleviating concerns over prolonged dry conditions. Meteorological

The UK coffee market is expected to undergo significant changes in the coming months, with prices continuing to rise due to climate challenges, geopolitical disruptions, and global inflation. As the UK market heavily relies on coffee imports, any fluctuations in global production or import costs directly affect prices in both the hospitality and retail sectors.

Arabica coffee prices drop as inventories rise, Brazil faces drought, and exports decline. Stay updated on global coffee market trends in 2024.

Discover the top coffee-producing countries in 2024, market trends, and price forecasts. Learn how Brazil and Vietnam dominate global coffee production.

Global coffee prices experienced notable declines as favorable weather conditions eased supply concerns. On Friday, March arabica coffee contracts closed down 2.51%, while robusta coffee contracts dropped 1.74%. Rainfall Brings Relief in Brazil Brazil’s key arabica coffee-growing region, Minas Gerais, recently received 102.8 mm of rain, amounting to 182% of the historical average, according to

Coffee prices surged sharply on Friday, continuing a two-day rally driven by concerns over tight future supplies. March arabica coffee rose by 5.34%, while January robusta climbed 5.27%. Vietnam, the world’s largest robusta producer, reported a steep drop in coffee exports, with November exports plunging 49.1% year-on-year to 60,000 MT and January-November shipments down 14.3%

In recent developments, the coffee market has experienced a notable decline in prices. September arabica coffee (KCU24) fell by -5.15 (-2.25%), and July ICE robusta coffee (RMN24) decreased by -83 (-1.89%). The primary driver behind this trend is the weakness in the Brazilian real (BRL), which has tumbled to a 19-month low against the US

On Tuesday, coffee prices took a hit, with July arabica coffee (KCN24) closing down -0.85 (-0.38%) and July ICE robusta coffee (RMN24) falling -40 (-0.94%). The dip saw arabica prices reach a two-week low and robusta prices a one-week low, influenced by Brazil’s accelerated coffee harvest. Brazil’s 2024/25 coffee harvest, as reported by Safras &

Vietnam, known as the world’s second-largest producer of coffee beans and the largest robusta producer, is experiencing a significant shift in its agricultural landscape. Coffee farmers are increasingly turning their attention away from coffee cultivation and toward durian farming. This transition has implications for both the coffee industry and the global market. Durian, often referred

Arabica coffee futures surged on Friday amidst worries over Brazil’s coffee crops, while robusta prices fluctuated. Coffee prices ended the session with arabica reaching a new 5-3/4 month high. Concerns mounted as heavy rainfall in Brazil’s coffee-growing regions raised fears of crop damage. Somar Meteorologia’s report indicated a significant increase in rainfall in Brazil’s Minas

On Wednesday, Arabica coffee (KCK24) saw a notable increase, closing up +2.60 (+1.38%), while May ICE Robusta coffee (RMK24) also experienced a rise, closing up +94 (+2.71%). The upward momentum in coffee prices was evident as Arabica reached a 2-1/2 week high, and Robusta hit an all-time high in nearest futures. This surge in Robusta

Sucden Financial is a leading multi-asset execution, clearing and liquidity provider across FX, fixed income and commodities. A report entitled “Modernizing the Coffee Crop: A Bumpy Journey for Coffee Markets.” According to the report, the coffee industry experienced a rollercoaster ride in 2023, with turbulent prices impacting both Arabica and Robusta contracts. Brazil and Vietnam

Global coffee trade is increasingly threatened by climate change Coffee crops are an important source of income for millions of people around the world, but with the climate changes anticipated, coffee plantations may be in danger of dying or failing to thrive. Coffee plants are sensitive to climate variability and change, and have fairly narrow

Moscow – Qahwa World Over the past year, Moscow’s coffee market has undergone a noticeable shift. Grab-and-go coffee outlets continue to expand, while traditional cafés with seating areas are gradually losing ground. From January 2025 to January 2026, the number of coffee-to-go locations in the city grew by about 5%, rising from roughly 3,900 to

WCR is a 501(c)5 non-profit agricultural research organization registered in the state of California. They are the only industry-driven organization driving agricultural innovation for coffee. WCR was formed by the global coffee industry in 2012, recognizing that innovation in coffee agriculture is necessary to meet the challenges of the 21st century. WCR MISSION Grow, protect